Gray, Professor Lesley J

Director of Science and Staff

Address

University of Oxford

Atmospheric Physics

Clarendon Laboratory

Parks Road

Oxford

OX1 3PU

 
email
+44 1865 272909  
Website
http://ncas-cms.nerc.ac.uk/people/people_research.php?user_ID=65  
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Science Theme: Long-term Global Change, Climate & High-Impact Weather

Publications

  • Bushell, A. C.; Anstey, J. A.; Butchart, N.; Kawatani, Y.; Osprey, S. M.; Richter, J; Serva, F; Braesicke, P.; Cagnazzo, C.; Chen, C.‐C.; Chun, H‐Y; García, R. R.; GRAY, L. J.; Hamilton, K.; Kerzenmacher, T; Kim, Y.‐H.; Lott, F.; McLandress, C.; Naoe, H; Scinocca, J; Smith, AK; Stockdale, T. N.; Versick, S; Watanabe, S.; Yoshida, K; Yukimoto, S.; Evaluation of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in global climate models for the {SPARC} {QBO}-initiative. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society [doi:10.1002/qj.3765] Feb 2020
  • Richter, J; Butchart, Neal; Kawatani, Yoshio; Bushell, Andrew C.; Holt, LA; Serva, F; Anstey, James; Simpson, Isla R.; Osprey, S. M.; Hamilton, Kevin; Braesicke, Peter; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Chen, Chih-Chieh; Garcia, Rolando R.; Gray, Lesley J.; Kerzenmacher, T; Lott, François; McLandress, Charles; Naoe, H; Scinocca, John; Stockdale, Timothy N.; Versick, Stefan; Watanabe, Shingo; Yoshida, Kohei; Yukimoto, Seiji; Response of the quasi-biennial oscillation to a warming climate in global climate models. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society [doi:10.1002/qj.3749] Jan 2020
  • Misios, Stergios; Gray, Lesley J.; Knudsen, Mads F.; Karoff, Christoffer; Schmidt, Hauke; Haigh, Joanna; Slowdown of the Walker circulation at solar cycle maximum. Proceedings Of The National Academy Of Sciences, 116 (15) , 7186--7191, [doi:10.1073/pnas.1815060116] Mar 2019
  • Smith, AK; Holt, LA; Garcia, RR; Anstey, JA; Serva, F; Butchart, N; Osprey, S. M.; Bushell, AC; Kawatani, Y.; Kim, Y‐H; Lott, F; Braesicke, P.; Cagnazzo, C.; Chen, CC; Chun, H‐Y; Gray, LJ; Kerzenmacher, T; Naoe, H; Richter, J; Versick, S; Schenzinger, V.; Watanabe, S.; Yoshida, K; The equatorial stratospheric semiannual oscillation and time-mean winds in {QBOi} models. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society [doi:10.1002/qj.3690] Oct 2019
  • Kawatani, Yoshio; Hamilton, Kevin; Gray, Lesley J.; Osprey, S. M.; Watanabe, Shingo; Yamashita, Yousuke; The Effects of a Well-Resolved Stratosphere on the Simulated Boreal Winter Circulation in a Climate Model. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 76 (5) , 1203--1226, [doi:10.1175/jas-d-18-0206.1] May 2019
  • Kornhuber, Kai; Osprey, S. M.; Coumou, Dim; Petri, Stefan; Petoukhov, Vladimir; Rahmstorf, Stefan; Gray, Lesley; Extreme weather events in early summer 2018 connected by a recurrent hemispheric wave-7 pattern. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (5) , 054002, [doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab13bf] Apr 2019
  • Gray, Lesley J.; Anstey, James A.; Kawatani, Yoshio; Lu, Hua; Osprey, S. M.; Schenzinger, Verena; Surface impacts of the Quasi Biennial Oscillation. Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics, 18 (11) , 8227--8247, [doi:10.5194/acp-18-8227-2018] Jun 2018
  • O{'}Reilly, C. H.; Weisheimer, A.; Woollings, T.; GRAY, L. J.; MacLeod, D.; The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal-to-noise paradox. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society 2018
  • Robson, J. I.; Sutton, Rowan T.; Archibald, Alex; Cooper, Fenwick; Christensen, Matthew; Gray, Lesley J.; Holliday, N Penny; Macintosh, Claire; McMillan, Malcolm; Moat, BI; Russo, M. R.; Tilling, Rachel; Carslaw, K.; Desbruyères, Damien; Embury, Owen; Feltham, Daniel L.; Grosvenor, Daniel P.; Josey, Simon; King, Brian; Lewis, Alastair; McCarthy, Gerard D.; Merchant, Chris; New, Adrian L.; O'Reilly, Christopher H.; Osprey, Scott M.; Read, Katie; Scaife, Adam; Shepherd, Andrew; Sinha, Bablu; Smeed, David; Smith, Doug; Ridout, Andrew; Woollings, Tim; Yang, Mingxi; Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005-2016. International Journal Of Climatology, 38 (14) , 5050--5076, [doi:10.1002/joc.5815] Sep 2018
  • O'Reilly, Christopher H.; Weisheimer, A.; Woollings, Tim; Gray, Lesley J.; MacLeod, Dave; The importance of stratospheric initial conditions for winter North Atlantic Oscillation predictability and implications for the signal-to-noise paradox. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society [doi:10.1002/qj.3413] Dec 2018
  • Menary, Matthew B.; Kuhlbrodt, T.; Ridley, Jeff; Andrews, Martin B.; Dimdore‐Miles, Oscar B.; Deshayes, Julie; Eade, Rosie; Gray, Lesley; Ineson, Sarah; Mignot, Juliette; Roberts, Christopher D.; Robson, Jon; Wood, Richard A.; Xavier, Prince; Preindustrial Control Simulations With {HadGEM}3-{GC}3.1 for {CMIP}6. Journal Of Advances In Modeling Earth Systems [doi:10.1029/2018ms001495] Dec 2018
  • Butchart, Neal; Anstey, James A.; Hamilton, Kevin; Osprey, S. M.; McLandress, Charles; Bushell, Andrew C.; Kawatani, Yoshio; Kim, Young-Ha; Lott, François; Scinocca, John; Stockdale, Timothy N.; Andrews, Martin; Bellprat, Omar; Braesicke, Peter; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Chen, Chih-Chieh; Chun, Hye-Yeong; Dobrynin, Mikhail; Garcia, Rolando R.; García-Serrano, Javier; Gray, Lesley J.; Holt, Laura; Kerzenmacher, Tobias; Naoe, Hiroaki; Pohlmann, Holger; Richter, Jadwiga H.; Scaife, Adam A.; Schenzinger, Verena; Serva, Federico; Versick, Stefan; Watanabe, Shingo; Yoshida, Kohei; Yukimoto, Seiji; Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the {SPARC} Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative ({QBOi}). Geoscientific Model Development, 11 (3) , 1009--1032, [doi:10.5194/gmd-11-1009-2018] Mar 2018
  • Butchart, Neal; Anstey, James A.; Hamilton, Kevin; Osprey, S. M.; McLandress, Charles; Bushell, Andrew C.; Kawatani, Yoshio; Kim, Young-Ha; Lott, François; Scinocca, John; Stockdale, Tim; Bellprat, Omar; Braesicke, Peter; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Chen, Chih-Chieh; Chun, Hye-Yeong; Dobrynin, Mikhail; Garcia, Rolando R.; García-Serrano, Javier; Gray, Lesley J.; Holt, Laura; Kerzenmacher, Tobias; Naoe, Hiroaki; Pohlmann, Holger; Richter, Jadwiga H.; Scaife, Adam A.; Schenzinger, Verena; Serva, F; Versick, Stefan; Watanabe, Shingo; Yoshida, Kohei; Yukimoto, Seiji; Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the {SPARC} Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative ({QBOi}). [doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-187-supplement] Oct 2017
  • Schenzinger, Verena; Osprey, S. M.; Gray, Lesley; Butchart, Neal; Defining metrics of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in global climate models. Geoscientific Model Development, 10 (6) , 2157--2168, [doi:10.5194/gmd-10-2157-2017] Jun 2017
  • Butchart, Neal; Anstey, James A.; Hamilton, Kevin; Osprey, Scott; McLandress, Charles; Bushell, Andrew C.; Kawatani, Yoshio; Kim, Young-Ha; Lott, François; Scinocca, John; Stockdale, Tim; Bellprat, Omar; Braesicke, Peter; Cagnazzo, Chiara; Chen, Chih-Chieh; Chun, Hye-Yeong; Dobrynin, Mikhail; Garcia, Rolando R.; García-Serrano, Javier; Gray, Lesley J.; Holt, Laura; Kerzenmacher, Tobias; Naoe, Hiroaki; Pohlmann, Holger; Richter, Jadwiga H.; Scaife, Adam A.; Schenzinger, Verena; Serva, Federico; Versick, Stefan; Watanabe, Shingo; Yoshida, Kohei; Yukimoto, Seiji; Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the {SPARC} Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative ({QBOi}). Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 1--35, [doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-187] Oct 2017
  • Sutton, R. T.; McCarthy, G. D.; Robson, J.; Sinha, B.; Archibald, A.; GRAY, L. J.; Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability and the UK ACSIS programme. Bulletin Of The American Meteorological Society [doi:10.1175/bams-d-16-0266.1] Jul 2017
  • Gray, Lesley J.; Anstey, James A.; Kawatani, Yoshio; Lu, H.; Osprey, S. M.; Schenzinger, Verena; Surface impacts of the Quasi Biennial Oscillation. Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics Discussions 1–34, [doi:10.5194/acp-2017-1065] Dec 2017
  • Anstey, J.; Osprey, S. M.; Butchart, N.; Hamilton, K.; GRAY, L. J.; Baldwin, M. P.; (ed: Tummon, F.; ) Report on the SPARC QBO Workshop: The QBO and its Global Influence - Past, Present and Future. Sparc Newsletter, 48, 33-41, Jan 2017
  • GRAY, L. J.; Woollings, T. J.; Andrews, M.; Knight, J.; Eleven-year solar cycle signal in the {NAO} and Atlantic/European blocking. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (698) , 1890--1903, [doi:10.1002/qj.2782] May 2016
  • Schenzinger, Verena; Osprey, S. M.; Gray, Lesley; Butchart, Neal; Defining metrics of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation in global climate models. Geoscientific Model Development Discussions 1–21, [doi:10.5194/gmd-2016-284] Dec 2016
  • Ineson, Sarah; Maycock, Amanda C.; Gray, Lesley J.; Scaife, Adam A.; Dunstone, Nick J.; Harder, Jerald W.; Knight, Jeff R.; Lockwood, Mike; Manners, James C.; Wood, Richard A.; Regional climate impacts of a possible future grand solar minimum. Nature Communications, 6 (1) , [doi:10.1038/ncomms8535] Jun 2015
  • Misios, S.; Mitchell, D. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Tourpali, K.; Matthes, K.; Hood, L.; Schmidt, H.; Chiodo, G.; Thiéblemont, R.; Rozanov, E.; Krivolutsky, A.; Solar signals in {CMIP}-5 simulations: effects of atmosphere-ocean coupling. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695) , 928--941, [doi:10.1002/qj.2695] Dec 2015
  • Anstey, J.; Hamilton, K.; Osprey, S. M.; Butchart, N.; GRAY, L. J.; Report on the 1st QBO Modelling and Reanalyses Workshop. Sparc Newsletter, 45, 19-25, Jul 2015
  • Maycock, A. C.; Ineson, S; GRAY, L. J.; Scaife, A. A.; Anstey, J. A.; Lockwood, M; Butchart, N.; Hardiman, S. C.; Mitchell, D. M.; Osprey, S. M.; Possible impacts of a future Grand Solar Minimum on climate: Stratospheric and global circulation changes. Journal Of Geophysical Research n/a–n/a, [doi:10.1002/2014jd022022] Apr 2015
  • Andrews, M B; Knight, J.; GRAY, L. J.; A simulated lagged response of the North Atlantic Oscillation to the solar cycle over the period 1960–2009. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (5) , 054022, [doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/5/054022] May 2015
  • Hood, L. L.; Misios, S.; Mitchell, D. M.; Rozanov, E.; GRAY, L. J.; Tourpali, K; Matthes, K; Schmidt, H.; Chiodo, G.; Thiéblemont, R.; Shindell, DT; Krivolutsky, A.; Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Ozone Response. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society n/a–n/a, [doi:10.1002/qj.2553] Mar 2015
  • Mitchell, D. M.; Misios, S.; GRAY, L. J.; Tourpali, K; Matthes, K; Hood, L; Schmidt, H.; Chiodo, G.; Thiéblemont, R.; Rozanov, E.; Shindell, DT; Krivolutsky, A.; Solar Signals in CMIP-5 Simulations: The Stratospheric Pathway. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society n/a–n/a, [doi:10.1002/qj.2530] Jan 2015
  • Mitchell, D. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Fujiwara, M.; Hibino, T.; Anstey, J. A.; Ebisuzaki, W.; Harada, Y.; Long, C.; Misios, S.; Stott, P. A.; Tan, D.; Signatures of naturally induced variability in the atmosphere using multiple reanalysis datasets. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (691) , 2011--2031, [doi:10.1002/qj.2492] Dec 2014
  • Hardiman, Steven; Butchart, Neal; Hinton, Tim; Osprey, S. M.; Gray, Lesley; Jones, Chris; Hughes, John; HadGEM2-CC model output prepared for CMIP5 RCP8.5, served by ESGF, [doi:10.1594/WDCC/CMIP5.MOGCr8] 2014
  • Hardiman, Steven; Butchart, Neal; Hinton, Tim; Osprey, S. M.; Gray, Lesley; Jones, Chris; Hughes, John; HadGEM2-CC model output prepared for CMIP5 RCP4.5, served by ESGF}, [doi:10.1594/WDCC/CMIP5.MOGCr4] 2014
  • Hardiman, Steven; Butchart, Neal; Hinton, Tim; Osprey, S. M.; Gray, Lesley; Jones, Chris; Hughes, John; HadGEM2-CC model output prepared for CMIP5 piControl, served by ESGF, [doi:10.1594/WDCC/CMIP5.MOGCpc] 2014
  • Hardiman, Steven; Butchart, Neal; Hinton, Tim; Osprey, S. M.; Gray, Lesley; Jones, Chris; Hughes, John; HadGEM2-CC model output prepared for CMIP5 historical, served by ESGF, World Data Centre for Climate, [doi:10.1594/WDCC/CMIP5.MOGChi] 2014
  • Manzini, E.; Karpechko, A. Yu.; Anstey, J.; Baldwin, M. P.; Black, R. X.; Cagnazzo, C.; Calvo, N.; Charlton-Perez, A.; Christiansen, B.; Davini, Paolo; Gerber, EP; Giorgetta, MA; Gray, LJ; Hardiman, S. C.; Lee, Y.-Y.; Marsh, D. R.; McDaniel, B. A.; Purich, A.; Scaife, A. A.; Shindell, DT; Son, S.-W.; Watanabe, S.; Zappa, G.; Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 119 (13) , 7979–7998, [doi:10.1002/2013jd021403] Jul 2014
  • Watson, Peter A. G.; Gray, Lesley J.; How Does the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation Affect the Stratospheric Polar Vortex?. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 71 (1) , 391–409, [doi:10.1175/jas-d-13-096.1] Jan 2014
  • Ern, M.; Ploeger, F.; Preusse, P.; Gille, J. C.; GRAY, L. J.; Kalisch, S.; Mlynczak, M. G.; Russell, J. M.; Riese, M.; Interaction of gravity waves with the QBO: A satellite perspective. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 119 (5) , 2329–2355, [doi:10.1002/2013jd020731] Mar 2014
  • Lu, H.; Bracegirdle, Thomas J.; Phillips, Tony; Bushell, Andrew; Gray, Lesley; Mechanisms for the Holton-Tan relationship and its decadal variation. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 119 (6) , 2811–2830, [doi:10.1002/2013jd021352] Mar 2014
  • Seviour, William J. M.; Hardiman, Steven C.; Gray, Lesley J.; Butchart, Neal; MacLachlan, Craig; Scaife, Adam A.; Skillful seasonal prediction of the Southern Annular Mode and Antarctic ozone. Journal Of Climate 140725124712003, [doi:10.1175/jcli-d-14-00264.1] Jul 2014
  • GRAY, L. J.; Scaife, A. A.; Mitchell, D. M.; Osprey, S. M.; Ineson, S; Hardiman, S. C.; Butchart, N.; Knight, J.; Sutton, R.T.; Kodera, K.; A Lagged Response to the 11-year Solar Cycle in Observed Winter Atlantic/European Weather Patterns. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 118 (24) , 13,405–13,420, [doi:10.1002/2013JD020062] Dec 2013
  • Scaife, Adam A.; Ineson, Sarah; Knight, Jeff R.; Gray, Lesley; Kodera, Kunihiko; Smith, Doug M.; A mechanism for lagged North Atlantic climate response to solar variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (2) , 434-439, [doi:10.1002/grl.50099] Jan 2013
  • Mitchell, D. M.; Thorne, P. W.; Stott, P. A.; GRAY, L. J.; Revisiting the controversial issue of tropical tropospheric temperature trends. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (11) , 2801-2806, [doi:10.1002/grl.50465] Jun 2013
  • Mitchell, Daniel M.; Gray, Lesley J.; Anstey, James; Baldwin, Mark P.; Charlton-Perez, Andrew J.; The Influence of Stratospheric Vortex Displacements and Splits on Surface Climate. Journal Of Climate, 26 (8) , 2668-2682, [doi:10.1175/jcli-d-12-00030.1] Apr 2013
  • Hansen, F.; Matthes, K; GRAY, L. J.; Sensitivity of stratospheric dynamics and chemistry to QBO nudging width in the chemistry-climate model WACCM. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 118 (18) , 10,464-10,474, [doi:10.1002/jgrd.50812] Sep 2013
  • Seviour, William J. M.; Mitchell, Daniel M.; Gray, Lesley J.; A practical method to identify displaced and split stratospheric polar vortex events. Geophysical Research Letters, 40 (19) , 5268-5273, [doi:10.1002/grl.50927] Oct 2013
  • Anstey, J.; Davini, P.; GRAY, L. J.; Woollings, T.; Butchart, N.; Cagnazzo, C.; Christiansen, B.; Hardiman, S. C.; Osprey, S. M.; Yang, S.; Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking, Part I: Model biases and the role of resolution. Journal Of Geophysical Research [doi:10.1002/jgrd.50231] 2013
  • Mitchell, D. M.; Stott, P. A.; GRAY, L. J.; Allen, M. R.; Lott, F; Butchart, N.; Hardiman, S. C.; Osprey, S. M.; The Impact of Stratospheric Resolution on the Detectability of Climate Change Signals in the Free Atmosphere. Geophysical Research Letters [doi:10.1002/grl.50177] 2013
  • Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Hardiman, S. C.; Butchart, N.; Hinton, T. J.; Stratospheric variability in 20th Century CMIP5 simulations of the Met Office climate model: High-top versus low-top. Journal Of Climate, 26 (5) , 1595-1606, [doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00147.1] Mar 2013
  • Mitchell, Daniel M.; Osprey, Scott M.; Gray, Lesley J.; Butchart, Neal; Hardiman, Steven C.; Charlton-Perez, Andrew J.; Watson, Peter; {CORRIGENDUM}. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (12) , 3812--3812, [doi:10.1175/jas-d-12-0234.1] Dec 2012
  • Wilcox, L. J.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; GRAY, L. J.; Trends in Austral jet position in ensembles of high- and low-top {CMIP}5 models. Journal Of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 117 (D13) , n/a--n/a, [doi:10.1029/2012jd017597] Jul 2012
  • Mitchell, D. M.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; GRAY, L. J.; Akiyoshi, H; Butchart, N.; Hardiman, S. C.; Morgenstern, O.; Nakamura, T; Rozanov, E.; Shibata, K.; Smale, D.; Yamashita, Y; The nature of Arctic polar vortices in chemistry-climate models. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (668) , 1681–1691, [doi:10.1002/qj.1909] Mar 2012
  • Hardiman, S. C.; Butchart, N.; Hinton, T. J.; Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; The Effect of a Well-Resolved Stratosphere on Surface Climate: Differences between CMIP5 Simulations with High and Low Top Versions of the Met Office Climate Model. Journal Of Climate, 25 (20) , 7083-7099, [doi:10.1175/jcli-d-11-00579.1] Oct 2012
  • Driscoll, Simon; Bozzo, Alessio; Gray, Lesley J.; Robock, Alan; Stenchikov, Georgiy; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) simulations of climate following volcanic eruptions. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 117 (D17) , n/a-n/a, [doi:10.1029/2012jd017607] Sep 2012
  • Wilcox, L. J.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; Gray, LJ; Trends in Austral jet position in ensembles of high-and low-top CMIP5 models. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 117 (D13) , D13115, 2012
  • Yang, G-Y; Hoskins, B. J.; GRAY, L. J.; The influence of the QBO on the propagation of equatorial waves into the stratosphere. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (10) , 2959-2982, [doi:10.1175/JAS-D-11-0342.1] 2012
  • Hoskins, B. J.; GRAY, L. J.; The influence of the QBO on the propagation of equatorial waves into the stratosphere. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences 2012
  • Hardiman, S. C.; Butchart, N.; Hinton, T. J.; Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; The effect of a well resolved stratosphere on surface climate: Differences between CMIP5 simulations with high and low top versions of the Met Office climate model. Journal Of Climate [doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00579.1] 2012
  • Mitchell, D. M.; Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Butchart, N.; Hardiman, S. C.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; Watson, P.; The Effect of Climate Change on the Variability of the Northern Hemisphere Stratospheric Polar Vortex. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences [doi:10.1175/JAS-D-12-021.1] 2012
  • Driscoll, S.; Bozzo, A.; GRAY, L. J.; Robock, A.; Stenchikov, G.; Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5) 1 Simulations of Climate Following Volcanic Eruptions. Journal Of Geophysical Research 2012
  • Cnossen, I; Lu, H.; Bell, Christopher James; GRAY, L. J.; Joshi, M. M.; Solar signal propagation: the role of gravity waves and stratospheric sudden warmings. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 116, 2011
  • Ineson, Sarah; Scaife, Adam A.; Knight, Jeff R.; Manners, James C.; Dunstone, Nick J.; Haigh, Joanna D.; GRAY, L. J.; Solar forcing of winter climate variability in the Northern Hemisphere. Nature Geoscience, 4 (11) , 753-757, [doi:10.1038/ngeo1282] NOV 2011
  • Martin, G. M.; Bellouin, N; Collins, W. J.; Culverwell, I. D.; Halloran, P. R.; Hardiman, S. C.; Hinton, T. J.; Jones, C. D.; McDonald, R. E.; McLaren, A. J.; O'Connor, F. M.; Roberts, M. J.; Rodriguez, J. M.; Woodward, S.; Best, M. J.; Brooks, M. E.; Brown, A. R.; Butchart, N.; Dearden, C.; Derbyshire, S. H.; Dharssi, I.; Doutriaux-Boucher, M.; Edwards, J. M.; Falloon, P. D.; Gedney, N.; GRAY, L. J.; Hewitt, H. T.; Hobson, M.; Huddleston, M. R.; Hughes, J.; Ineson, S; Ingram, W. J.; James, P. M.; Johns, T. C.; Johnson, C. E.; Jones, A.; Jones, C. P.; Joshi, M. M.; Keen, A. B.; Liddicoat, S.; Lock, A. P.; Maidens, A. V.; Manners, J. C.; Milton, S. F.; Rae, J. G. L.; Ridley, J. K.; Sellar, A.; Senior, C. A.; Totterdell, I. J.; Verhoef, A.; Vidale, P-L; Wiltshire, A.; Team, HadGEM2 Dev; The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations. Geoscientific Model Development, {4} ({3}) , {723-757}, [doi:10.5194/gmd-4-723-2011] 2011
  • Richter, Jadwiga H.; Matthes, Katja; Calvo, Natalia; GRAY, L. J.; {Influence of the quasi-biennial oscillation and El Nino-Southern Oscillation on the frequency of sudden stratospheric warmings}. {Journal Of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres}, 116, [doi:10.1029/2011jd015757] {OCT 21} 2011
  • Jones, C. D.; Hughes, J. K.; Bellouin, N; Hardiman, S. C.; Jones, G. S.; Knight, J.; Liddicoat, S.; O'Connor, F. M.; Andres, R. J.; Bell, C. J.; Boo, K. O.; Bozzo, A.; Butchart, N.; Cadule, P.; Corbin, K. D.; Doutriaux-Boucher, M.; Friedlingstein, P.; Gornall, J.; GRAY, L. J.; Halloran, P. R.; Hurtt, G.; Ingram, W. J.; Lamarque, J. -F.; Law, R. M.; Meinshausen, M.; Osprey, S. M.; Palin, E. J.; Parsons Chini, L.; Raddatz, T.; Sanderson, M.; Seller, A. A.; Schurer, A.; Valdes, P.; Wood, N.; Woodward, S.; Yoshioka, M.; Zerroukat, M.; The HadGEM2-ES implementation of CMIP5 centennial simulations. Geophysical Model Development, 4, 543-570, [doi:10.5194/gmd-4-543-2011] 2011
  • Lu, H.; Jarvis, M. J.; GRAY, L. J.; Baldwin, M. P.; High and low frequency 11-year solar cycle signature in the southern hemispheric winter and spring. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society [doi:10.1002/qj.852] 2011
  • Richter, J. H.; Matthes, K; Calvo, N; GRAY, L. J.; Influence of the quasi biennial oscillation and El Nino southern oscillation on the frequency of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal Of Geophysical Research [doi:10.1029/2011JD015757] 2011
  • Mitchell, D. M.; Charlton-Perez, AJ; GRAY, L. J.; On the representation and predictions of the stratospheric polar vortex in chemistry-climate model. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society 2011
  • Mitchell, D. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; The structure and evolution of the stratospheric vortex in response to natural forcings. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 116, [doi:10.1029/2011JD015788] 2011
  • Mitchell, D. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; Characterising the structure and evolution of the stratospheric polar vortex using 2D moments. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society 2011
  • Hannachi, A; Mitchell, D. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Charlton-Perez, A. J.; On the use of geometric moments to examine the continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences [doi:10.1175/2010JAS3585.1] Feb 2011
  • Cnossen, I; Lu, H.; Bell, C. J.; GRAY, L. J.; Joshi, M. M.; The role of gravity wave effects and stratospheric sudden warmings in modelled solar signal propagation. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 116, D02118, [doi:10.1029/2010JD014535] Jan 2011
  • Karpechko, Alexey Y.; Gillett, Nathan P.; Gray, Lesley J.; Dall'Amico, Mauro; Influence of ozone recovery and greenhouse gas increases on Southern Hemisphere circulation. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 115 (D22) , [doi:10.1029/2010jd014423] Nov 2010
  • Wright, C. J.; Osprey, S. M.; Barnett, J. J.; GRAY, L. J.; Gille, J. C.; High Resolution Dynamics Limb Sounder measurements of gravity wave activity in the 2006 Arctic stratosphere. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 115, [doi:10.1029/2009jd011858] Jan 23 2010
  • Hardiman, S. C.; Butchart, N.; Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Bushell, A. C.; Hinton, T. J.; The Climatology of the Middle Atmosphere in a Vertically Extended Version of the Met Office's Climate Model. Part I: Mean State. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (5) , 1509-1525, [doi:10.1175/2009jas3337.1] May 2010
  • Bushell, A. C.; Jackson, D. R.; Butchart, N.; Hardiman, S. C.; Hinton, T. J.; Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Sensitivity of GCM tropical middle atmosphere variability and climate to ozone and parameterized gravity wave changes. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 115, [doi:10.1029/2009jd013340] Aug 3 2010
  • Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Hardiman, S. C.; Butchart, N.; Bushell, A. C.; Hinton, T. J.; The Climatology of the Middle Atmosphere in a Vertically Extended Version of the Met Office's Climate Model Part II: Variability. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 67 (11) , 3637-3651, [doi:10.1175/2010jas3338.1] Nov 2010
  • GRAY, L. J.; (ed: Polvani, LM; Sobel, A; Waugh, D. W.; ) Equatorial Dynamics in The Stratosphere: Dynamics, Transport and Chemistry. Agu Geophysical Monograph 2010
  • GRAY, L. J.; Beer, J; Geller, M; Haigh, J. D.; Lockwood, M; Matthes, K; Cubasch, U; Fleitmann, D; Harrison, R. G.; Hood, L; Luterbacher, J; Meehl, G. A.; Shindell, D. T.; van Geel, B; White, W; Solar Influences on Climate. Reviews In Geophysics, 48, [doi:10.1029/2009RG000282] 2010
  • Bell, C. J.; GRAY, L. J.; Kettleborough, J; Changes in Northern Hemisphere stratospheric variability under increased CO2 concentrations. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 136, 1181-1190, [doi:10.1002/qj.633] Jul 2010
  • Woollings, T.; Lockwood, M; Masato, G; Bell, C. J.; GRAY, L. J.; Enhanced signature of solar variability in Eurasian winter climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 37, L20805, [doi:10.1029/2010GL044601] 2010
  • Lockwood, M; Bell, C. J.; Woollings, T.; Harrison, RG; GRAY, L. J.; Haigh, J. D.; Top-down solar modulation of climate: evidence for centennial change. Environmental Research Letters, 5, 034008, [doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/3/034008] 2010
  • Frame, T. H. A.; GRAY, L. J.; The 11-Yr Solar Cycle in ERA-40 Data: An Update to 2008. Journal Of Climate, 23 (8) , 2213-2222, [doi:10.1175/2009JCLI3150.1] Apr 2010
  • Lu, H.; GRAY, L. J.; Baldwin, M. P.; Jarvis, M. J.; Life of the QBO-modulated 11-year solar cycle signals in the Northern Hemisphere winter.. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 135, 1030--1043, [doi:10.1002/qj.419] 2009
  • Coughlin, K. T.; GRAY, L. J.; A continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings - A paper of note. Bulletin Of The American Meteorological Society 2009
  • GRAY, L. J.; Rumbold, Steven; Shine, Keith Peter; Stratospheric temperature and radiative forcing response to 11-year solar cycle changes in irradiance and ozone. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (8) , 2402--2417, [doi:10.1175/2009JAS2866.1] 2009
  • Coughlin, K. T.; GRAY, L. J.; A continuum of sudden stratospheric warmings. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (2) , 531--540, [doi:10.1175/2008JAS2792.1] 2009
  • Bell, Christopher James; GRAY, L. J.; Charlton-Perez, Andrew James; Joshi, M. M.; Scaife, Adam A.; Stratospheric communication of El Nino teleconnections to European winter. Journal Of Climate, 22 (15) , 4083--4096, [doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2717.1] 2009
  • Zhong, W.; Osprey, S. M.; GRAY, L. J.; Haigh, J. D.; Influence of the prescribed solar spectrum on calculations of atmospheric temperature. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (22) , [doi:10.1029/2008gl035993] Nov 29 2008
  • GRAY, L. J.; Crooks, S. A.; Palmer, M. A.; Pascoe, C. L.; Sparrow, S. N.; A Possible Transfer Mechanism for the 11-Year Solar Cycle to the Lower Stratosphere. Space Science Reviews, 125 (1-4) , 357--370, [doi:10.1007/s11214-006-9069-y] 2007
  • Pascoe, C. L.; GRAY, L. J.; Scaife, A. A.; A GCM study of the influence of equatorial winds on the timing of sudden stratospheric warmings. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (6) , [doi:10.1029/2005gl024715] 2006
  • Tian, Wenshou; Chipperfield, Martyn P.; GRAY, L. J.; Zawodny, Joseph M.; Quasi-biennial oscillation and tracer distributions in a coupled chemistry-climate model. Journal Of Geophysical Research, 111 (D20) , [doi:10.1029/2005JD006871] 2006
  • Hare, Sylvia H. E.; GRAY, L. J.; Lahoz, W. A.; O'Neill, A.; On the design of practicable numerical experiments to investigate stratospheric temperature change. Atmospheric Science Letters, 6 (2) , 123--127, [doi:10.1002/asl.101] 2005
  • Palmer, M. A.; GRAY, L. J.; Modeling the atmospheric response to solar irradiance changes using a GCM with a realistic QBO. Geophysical Research Letters, 32 (24) , [doi:10.1029/2005GL023809] 2005
  • Crooks, Simon A.; GRAY, L. J.; Characterization of the 11-Year Solar Signal Using a Multiple Regression Analysis of the ERA-40 Dataset. Journal Of Climate, 18 (7) , 996--996, [doi:10.1175/JCLI-3308.1] 2005
  • GRAY, L. J.; Norton, Warwick; Pascoe, C. L.; Charlton, Andrew; A Possible Influence of Equatorial Winds on the September 2002 Southern Hemisphere Sudden Warming Event. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 62 (3) , 651--651, [doi:10.1175/JAS-3339.1] 2005
  • GRAY, L. J.; Crooks, Simon; Pascoe, C. L.; Sparrow, S. N.; Palmer, Michael; Solar and QBO Influences on the Timing of Stratospheric Sudden Warmings. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 61 (23) , 2777--2777, [doi:10.1175/JAS-3297.1] 2004
  • GRAY, L. J.; The influence of the equatorial upper stratosphere on stratospheric sudden warmings. Geophysical Research Letters, 30 (4) , [doi:10.1029/2002GL016430] 2003
  • GRAY, L. J.; Sparrow, S. N.; Juckes, M. N.; O'Neill, A.; Andrews, D. G.; Flow regimes in the winter stratosphere of the northern hemisphere. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 129 (589) , 925--945, [doi:10.1256/qj.02.82] 2003
  • Drysdale, Ef; Dunkerton, Tj; Lawrence, B. N.; GRAY, L. J.; {Model studies of the interannual variability of the northern-hemisphere stratospheric winter circulation: The role of the quasi-biennial oscillation}. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (574) , 1413--1432, [doi:10.1256/smsqj.57415] 2001
  • GRAY, L. J.; Phipps, Sj; Dunkerton, Tj; Baldwin, Mp; Drysdale, Ef; Allen, M. R.; A data study of the influence of the equatorial upper stratosphere on northern-hemisphere stratospheric sudden warmings. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 127 (576) , 1985--2004, [doi:10.1256/smsqj.57606] 2001
  • GRAY, L. J.; Blackburn, Mike; Chipperfield, Martyn P.; Haigh, J. D.; Jackson, D.; Shine, K. P.; Thuburn, J.; Zhong, W.; First results from a 3-dimensional middle atmosphere model. Advances In Space Research, 13 (1) , 363 - 372, [doi:10.1016/0273-1177(93)90038-D] 1993
  • GRAY, L. J.; Pyle, J. A.; A TWO-DIMENSIONAL MODEL OF THE QUASI-BIENNIAL OSCILLATION OF OZONE. Journal Of The Atmospheric Sciences, 46, 203--220, [doi:10.1175/1520-0469(1989)046<0203:ATDMOT>2.0.CO;2] Jan 1989
  • Pyle, J. A.; ZAVODY, AM; GRAY, L. J.; MCINTYRE, ME; TESTS OF PHOTOCHEMICAL AND DYNAMIC THEORIES FROM SATELLITE DATA. Philosophical Transactions Of The Royal Society A, 323, 667--678, [doi:10.1098/rsta.1987.0113] Nov 1987
  • BRASSEUR, G; CARIOLLE, D; DERUDDER, A; GRAY, L. J.; Pyle, J. A.; Roth, EP; SCHMAILZL, U; WUEBBLES, DJ; ODD NITROGEN DURING THE MAP-GLOBUS 1983 CAMPAIGN - THEORETICAL CONSIDERATIONS. Planet Space Sci, 35, 637--645, [doi:10.1016/0032-0633(87)90130-9] May 1987
  • GRAY, L. J.; Pyle, J. A.; TWO-DIMENSIONAL MODEL STUDIES OF EQUATORIAL DYNAMICS AND TRACER DISTRIBUTIONS. Quarterly Journal Of The Royal Meteorological Society, 113, 635--651, [doi:10.1256/smsqj.47610] Apr 1987

Achievements / Science Highlights

  • Solar Influences on Climate, November 2010
  • Variability and Extremes of the Stratospheric Polar Vortex, November 2010
  • Solar forcing of winter European variability , November 2011
  • Improved characterisation of the stratospheric polar vortex, July 2011
  • The Climate Model Intercomparison Project, May 2011